Daily Archives: February 4, 2007

Not yet

Matthew Yglesias : Is Clinton Inevitable?

Probably not. But I just wanted to say that the ironic effect of the “national primary” that seems to be developing (many states, including California, moving their primaries to a week or two after New Hampshire) is to make New Hampshire more, not less important — to Hillary, at any rate. I tend to think that Edwards or Obama will win Iowa. Then it will come down to New Hampshire. If Hillary wins, with her huge advantages in name recognition and money she’ll win California (it being impossible to use “retail” politics on such a scale) and most of the other non-Southern primaries and sweep to the nomination. If she loses, she’s mortally wounded and Edwards or Obama, or somebody else, will emerge as the frontrunner.